This Issue August 2026 edition
Flip exits have thinned by 43% while investor buying holds near last year's pace
Recorded flip exits fell to 214 from 373 a year ago and from 288 in the prior period, while investor purchases held at 2,153 against 2,220 a year ago. The exits that did close were cheaper: median $62,100 versus $74,700 a year ago, with single-family flips clearing $49/sqft against a $107/sqft single-family purchase basis. The constraint is showing up on the resale side, not the acquisition side. Counts lag 4–8 weeks and June's 95 flips can still grow up to about 15% as late records arrive.
Investor Playbook
What this issue's numbers suggest checking, by investor type. Observations from recorded data — not investment, legal, or tax advice.
Price to landlord math, not flip math
Check the gap between a $107/sqft basis and a $49/sqft exit
2–4 unit basis is the standout at $51/sqft
Fill the small 2–4 unit ticket the record shows missing
Per-foot basis remains lowest in industrial and 5+ apartment
Factoids
Numbers from this period a practitioner would repeat to a colleague. Each computed directly from recorded instruments.
31% out of state — Out-of-state share of investor purchases, at a $157,100 median
11 private loans — Recorded private loans in the period, median $60,000
$51/sqft — Median price per square foot on 2–4 unit purchases (286 deals, $103,000 median)
1,468 units added — Units added by 767 local landlords since the last data drop
6 assignments — Wholesale assignments surfacing on recorded deeds, median spread $19,575
9 new-build sales — Builder new-build closings, median $336,400
Market Activity — Investor Purchases
Monthly count of investor purchases of MSA properties (left axis) and the median purchase price (right axis), trailing 13 months. The most recent month can grow up to ~15% as late recordings arrive.
Where the Money Went
The geography of the period's investor activity: which zip codes saw the most recorded deals, and the largest individual transactions at street level.
The 8 busiest zip codes for investor deals
| # | Zip | Area | Purchases | Flips | Median buy |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| #1 | 44105 | Slavic Village / Union-Miles | 119 | 12 | $45,000 |
| #2 | 44102 | Detroit-Shoreway / Cudell | 93 | 5 | $115,000 |
| #3 | 44120 | Shaker Square / Buckeye | 79 | 8 | $73,334 |
| #4 | 44060 | Mentor | 80 | 7 | $222,500 |
| #5 | 44077 | Painesville | 78 | 4 | $175,700 |
| #6 | 44128 | Lee-Harvard / Warrensville | 68 | 11 | $67,546 |
| #7 | 44108 | Glenville | 62 | 11 | $50,000 |
| #8 | 44109 | Old Brooklyn | 60 | 11 | $101,000 |
Largest recorded deals of the period, at street level
Deal sheet — largest recorded transactions
| Date | Type | Amount | Property | Use |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 17 | Flip | $1.2M | 26117 N Woodland Rd, Beachwood 44122 | Single family |
| Jun 18 | Flip | $505,000 | 2560 Snowberry Ln, Cleveland 44124 | Single family |
| Jun 3 | New build | $610,700 | 7667 Springfield Dr, Valley City 44280 | New construction |
| May 27 | Purchase | $9.5M | 9153 Longbrook Dr, North Ridgeville 44039 | Residential lot |
| Jun 25 | Purchase | $8.0M | 1237 Som Center Rd # 1277, Cleveland 44124 | Retail / service |
| May 12 | Private loan | $327,617 | 2850 Center Rd, Brunswick 44212 | Retail / service |
Largest flip margin deals of the period, at street level
Gross margin = recorded sale price minus the flipper's recorded purchase price. Purchase deeds are recoverable for roughly 4 in 10 flips; rehab and carry costs are not public record.
Market Pulse
| August edition | Count | Median | Prior period | Same months last year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Investor purchases | 2,153 | $145,000 | 2,080 (+4%) | 2,220 (−3%) |
| Flips sold (existing homes) | 214 | $62,100 | 288 (−26%) | 373 (−43%) |
| Builder new-build sales | 9 | $336,400 | 14 (−36%) | 50 (−82%) |
| Private loans recorded | 11 | $60,000 | 9 (+22%) | 62 (−82%) |
| Seller-financed notes | 90 | $134,000 | 75 (+20%) | 72 (+25%) |
| Wholesale assignments surfaced | 6 | $19,575 spread | 19 (−68%) | 24 (−75%) |
Acquisition volume is steady: 2,153 investor purchases, up 4% from 2,080 in the prior period and down 3% from 2,220 a year ago, with the median at $145,000 against $153,000 a year ago. Everything on the exit and construction side is down hard — flips 214 vs 373, new-build 9 vs 50, wholesale assignments 6 vs 24. The one line rising is seller-financed notes at 90 vs 72. Read the June figures as provisional: recorded instruments lag 4–8 weeks and the most recent month can grow up to about 15%.