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August Edition — Flip Exits

This Issue August 2026 edition

214 vs 373
Flips sold this edition vs. the same period last year, while investor purchases held at 2,153 vs 2,220

Flip exits have thinned by 43% while investor buying holds near last year's pace

Recorded flip exits fell to 214 from 373 a year ago and from 288 in the prior period, while investor purchases held at 2,153 against 2,220 a year ago. The exits that did close were cheaper: median $62,100 versus $74,700 a year ago, with single-family flips clearing $49/sqft against a $107/sqft single-family purchase basis. The constraint is showing up on the resale side, not the acquisition side. Counts lag 4–8 weeks and June's 95 flips can still grow up to about 15% as late records arrive.

Investor Playbook

What this issue's numbers suggest checking, by investor type. Observations from recorded data — not investment, legal, or tax advice.

Price to landlord math, not flip math

Wholesalers
With 6 assignments surfacing at a $19,575 median spread against 24 at $37,500 a year ago, and flip exits down to 214 from 373, the flipper bid is thinner. The data suggests routing low-basis east side product — 44105 at a $45,000 median buy, 44108 at $50,000, 44120 at $73,334 — toward the 767 landlords who added 1,468 units this period, and underwriting spreads closer to the current $19,575 median.

Check the gap between a $107/sqft basis and a $49/sqft exit

Flippers
Median flip exit fell to $62,100 from $74,700 a year ago, and single-family flips cleared $49/sqft while single-family purchases ran $107/sqft. Worth re-testing acquisition offers against that exit, particularly in the zips carrying the most flip volume — 44128 (11 flips on 68 buys), 44108 (11 on 62), 44109 (11 on 60), 44110 (11 on 46). Hold time on the last measurable cohort ran a median 5.3 months, with 13% over a year.

2–4 unit basis is the standout at $51/sqft

Landlords
Small multifamily traded 286 times at a $103,000 median and $51/sqft, against $107/sqft for the 1,246 single-family purchases. With flip exits down 43% year over year, some of that product is likely to reach the market unfinished; the data suggests testing bids on stalled rehabs in 44105, 44120 and 44128, where median buys sit between $45,000 and $73,334.

Fill the small 2–4 unit ticket the record shows missing

Private lenders
Only 11 private loans recorded at a $60,000 median, against 62 at $128,000 a year ago, while 90 seller-financed notes recorded at a $134,000 median. The loans that did record cluster small and on 2–4 unit Cleveland collateral — $100,000 on Stoughton Ave, $93,000 on E 132nd St, $93,000 on W 81st St. Worth checking whether borrowers in that band are taking seller paper because bridge capital is not being offered.

Per-foot basis remains lowest in industrial and 5+ apartment

Commercial investors
Retail/service traded 74 times at a $314,750 median ($77/sqft), Apartment 5+ 40 times at $340,500 ($52/sqft), and industrial 30 times at $373,500 ($45/sqft). The largest recorded purchases this period were commercial — $8.0M retail on Som Center Rd and $7.5M industrial on E 49th St. With builder new-build closings at 9 versus 50 a year ago, residential-lot competition from builders is materially lighter than last year.

Factoids

Numbers from this period a practitioner would repeat to a colleague. Each computed directly from recorded instruments.

31% out of state — Out-of-state share of investor purchases, at a $157,100 median

holding steady · vs 59% local at a $135,858 median
665 of 2,153 purchases came from out of state, and they paid a higher median than local buyers. CA (130), FL (77) and MI (51) led the feeder states.

11 private loans — Recorded private loans in the period, median $60,000

trending down · vs 62 loans at a $128,000 median a year ago
Recorded private debt is close to absent, and the loans that did record are smaller. Seller-financed notes ran 90 at a $134,000 median over the same window.

$51/sqft — Median price per square foot on 2–4 unit purchases (286 deals, $103,000 median)

holding steady · vs $107/sqft on 1,246 single-family purchases
Small multifamily continues to trade at roughly half the single-family basis per foot. Flipped 2–4 units cleared even lower at $18/sqft on 33 sales.

1,468 units added — Units added by 767 local landlords since the last data drop

trending up · against just 214 flip exits recorded in the same two months
Hold demand is absorbing far more product than the flip channel is releasing. Another 1,298 first-time local landlords appeared in the records.

6 assignments — Wholesale assignments surfacing on recorded deeds, median spread $19,575

trending down · vs 24 assignments at a $37,500 median spread a year ago
Both the count and the spread have compressed. Treat this as a floor, since most assignments never touch a recorded deed.

9 new-build sales — Builder new-build closings, median $336,400

trending down · vs 50 closings at a $330,450 median a year ago
New construction volume has all but stopped while pricing held. Builders remain active on land, with residential lots trading 107 times at a $111,000 median.

Market Activity — Investor Purchases

Monthly count of investor purchases of MSA properties (left axis) and the median purchase price (right axis), trailing 13 months. The most recent month can grow up to ~15% as late recordings arrive.

Where the Money Went

The geography of the period's investor activity: which zip codes saw the most recorded deals, and the largest individual transactions at street level.

The 8 busiest zip codes for investor deals

Map of the most active zip codes for investor activity
Each numbered pin is one zip code, ranked by recorded investor deals (purchases + flips of existing homes) this period; pin 1 corresponds to row #1 below, pin 2 to #2, and so on.
#ZipAreaPurchasesFlipsMedian buy
#144105Slavic Village / Union-Miles11912$45,000
#244102Detroit-Shoreway / Cudell935$115,000
#344120Shaker Square / Buckeye798$73,334
#444060Mentor807$222,500
#544077Painesville784$175,700
#644128Lee-Harvard / Warrensville6811$67,546
#744108Glenville6211$50,000
#844109Old Brooklyn6011$101,000

Largest recorded deals of the period, at street level

Street view of 9153 LONGBROOK DR
$9.5M · Purchase
9153 LONGBROOK DR, North Ridgeville 44039
Residential lot · May 27
Street View Apr 2026 — before the purchase
Street view of 1237 SOM CENTER RD # 1277
$8.0M · Purchase
1237 SOM CENTER RD # 1277, Cleveland 44124
Retail / service · 27,312 sqft · Jun 25
Street View Sep 2021 — before the purchase
Street view of 33725 WALKER RD
$7.3M · Purchase
33725 WALKER RD, Avon Lake 44012
Retail / service · 39,901 sqft · May 4
Street View May 2026 — same month as the purchase
Street view of 6268 WILSON MILLS RD
$6.8M · Purchase
6268 WILSON MILLS RD, Mayfield Village 44143
Office · 3 parcels · May 11
Street View Sep 2022 — before the purchase
Street view of 22979 STELFAST PKWY
$5.9M · Purchase
22979 STELFAST PKWY, Strongsville 44149
Industrial · 80,730 sqft · May 21
Street View Apr 2026 — before the purchase
Street view of 614 W SUPERIOR AVE
$5.1M · Purchase
614 W SUPERIOR AVE, Cleveland 44113
Office · 280,021 sqft · 2 parcels · May 7
Street View Aug 2024 — before the purchase

Deal sheet — largest recorded transactions

DateTypeAmountPropertyUse
Jun 17Flip$1.2M26117 N Woodland Rd, Beachwood 44122Single family
Jun 18Flip$505,0002560 Snowberry Ln, Cleveland 44124Single family
Jun 3New build$610,7007667 Springfield Dr, Valley City 44280New construction
May 27Purchase$9.5M9153 Longbrook Dr, North Ridgeville 44039Residential lot
Jun 25Purchase$8.0M1237 Som Center Rd # 1277, Cleveland 44124Retail / service
May 12Private loan$327,6172850 Center Rd, Brunswick 44212Retail / service

Largest flip margin deals of the period, at street level

Gross margin = recorded sale price minus the flipper's recorded purchase price. Purchase deeds are recoverable for roughly 4 in 10 flips; rehab and carry costs are not public record.

Street view of 26117 N WOODLAND RD
$799,000 gross · bought $400,000 (May 2025) → sold $1.2M
26117 N WOODLAND RD, Beachwood 44122
Single family · 1,602 sqft · Jun 17
Street View Apr 2023 — before the flip (pre-renovation)
Street view of 3438 MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DR
$120,000 gross · bought $42,000 (Jun 2025) → sold $162,000
3438 MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DR, Cleveland 44104
2–4 unit · 2,842 sqft · Jun 15
Street View Sep 2022 — before the flip (pre-renovation)
Street view of 3065 CORYDON RD
$119,800 gross · bought $145,100 (Apr 2025) → sold $264,900
3065 CORYDON RD, Cleveland 44118
Single family · 1,590 sqft · Jun 17
Street View Jul 2022 — before the flip (pre-renovation)
Street view of 975 N RIDGE RD E
$104,000 gross · bought $63,000 (Mar 2025) → sold $167,000
975 N RIDGE RD E, Lorain 44055
Single family · 1,284 sqft · Jun 2
Street View Aug 2025 — during the flip
Street view of 7619 OTTAWA RD
$93,500 gross · bought $22,000 (Apr 2026) → sold $115,500
7619 OTTAWA RD, Cleveland 44105
2–4 unit · 1,772 sqft · Jun 11
Street View Sep 2022 — before the flip (pre-renovation)
Street view of 1878 COLONNADE RD
$92,500 gross · bought $48,750 (Aug 2025) → sold $141,250
1878 COLONNADE RD, Cleveland 44112
2–4 unit · 2,267 sqft · May 13
Street View Aug 2022 — before the flip (pre-renovation)

Market Pulse

August editionCountMedianPrior periodSame months last year
Investor purchases2,153$145,0002,080 (+4%)2,220 (−3%)
Flips sold (existing homes)214$62,100288 (−26%)373 (−43%)
Builder new-build sales9$336,40014 (−36%)50 (−82%)
Private loans recorded11$60,0009 (+22%)62 (−82%)
Seller-financed notes90$134,00075 (+20%)72 (+25%)
Wholesale assignments surfaced6$19,575 spread19 (−68%)24 (−75%)
Recorded instruments on properties inside the MSA; transfers under $5,000 excluded (67 this period). "Same months last year" is the identical calendar window from the same records. The newest month can grow up to ~15% as late recordings arrive. Wholesale counts are a floor.

Acquisition volume is steady: 2,153 investor purchases, up 4% from 2,080 in the prior period and down 3% from 2,220 a year ago, with the median at $145,000 against $153,000 a year ago. Everything on the exit and construction side is down hard — flips 214 vs 373, new-build 9 vs 50, wholesale assignments 6 vs 24. The one line rising is seller-financed notes at 90 vs 72. Read the June figures as provisional: recorded instruments lag 4–8 weeks and the most recent month can grow up to about 15%.

Past Issues

Methodology

Source Data

County recorder & assessor via FARES
Every figure is computed from recorded instruments (deeds, mortgages, assignments) and assessor property records for the five counties of the Cleveland-Elyria MSA. No surveys, no estimates, no listings data.

Who Counts as an Investor

Transaction-pattern identification
Investors are entities whose recorded transaction history looks like investing: rental holding (landlords), short-hold resales (flippers), private mortgage lending, note holding, or contract assignment (wholesalers). Banks, homebuilders, iBuyers, SFR funds, and government entities are identified by name and reported separately from small investors.

How Comparisons Work

Same-window, same-source
"Vs. year ago" compares the same calendar months one year earlier, counted from the same data extract. Transfers under $5,000 (quitclaims, partial interests) are excluded everywhere. Counts lag recording by 4–8 weeks, and the newest month can grow up to ~15% as late records arrive — direction is reliable before magnitude.

Known Limits

Floors, not ceilings
Wholesale assignments only appear when they touch a recorded deed, so those counts are a floor. Flip hold times are measured from the prior recorded sale. Names are the owner of record, which may be an LLC or trust.

About

Purpose

A working tool for small real estate investors in Greater Cleveland: what actually closed, where, at what prices, and what it suggests checking next — one theme per issue.

Cadence

Published with each bi-monthly data drop, covering the two most recent complete months of recorded activity.

Disclaimer

Observations from public records, not investment, legal, or tax advice. Past activity does not guarantee future results. Verify any property or counterparty independently before transacting.